Chances of Chinese Attack on Taiwan in the Near Term Seem to Be Diminishing

There has been a lot of quite legitimate worry that China has been planning to invade Taiwan in the next year or two, but according to recent intelligence assessments, the likelihood of that happening is diminishing. Good. First, it's important to recognize facts that often get blurred: Beijing has pursued a policy of developing capabilities on a timeline that would make an invasion in 2027 a realistic choice, but that never meant it planned to do so in 2027. It never established a timeline for invasion, but one for readiness. Look at Russia Ukraine. They cant even get food to...