Bitcoin’s Monthly Trend: Early Pivots and Potential “Fake-Outs” Point to Bullish June

Observing the recent BTC price chart, Daan Crypto Trades highlights a notable pattern: the monthly high and low often materialize early in the month. For June, the current low was established on the 5th, with the high set on the 9th. This aligns with historical data, where a significant majority—80.7%—of monthly lows and highs are set within the first 12 trading days. This suggests that both the 5th and 9th of June could serve as crucial pivot points for the month’s price trajectory.

Looking back at earlier months in 2025, the pattern appears consistent:

February: A low was seen around the 3rd of the month. March: A low was observed around the 2nd of March. April: A low was marked around the 7th of April. May: A significant move began around the 6th of May.

A key insight from Daan Crypto Trades’ analysis is the observation that the initial significant movement (5% or more) within the first part of the month often acts as a “fake-out.” The real directional move, which the rest of the month follows, tends to occur afterward. If this pattern holds true for June, with the current low on the 5th and high on the 9th, the subsequent price action could favor a bullish continuation.

While last year exhibited a more “ping pong” like behavior in the first 12 days, lacking clear immediate direction, the high and low points for the month were still predominantly established within that initial period. This further solidifies the significance of early-month price action in determining Bitcoin’s monthly trend.

As June progresses, traders will be closely watching whether this established pattern of early monthly pivots and subsequent follow-through continues to dictate Bitcoin’s path, potentially setting the stage for a bullish remainder of the month.

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